Wednesday, May 25, 2005

5/18ths update

Finally, the regular season is exactly five eighteenths over. So I thought I would take a look at the status of some of my preseason predictions about the league Pujols and such. Also look at some of the surprising trends.

The Cards are on pace to win 104~105 games.
The Cubs are on pace to go 79-83.
The Diamondbacks are on pace to take the Wild Card with 95 wins.
It is looking like an I-55 series in the playoffs, but instead of the NLCS it's the World Series as the White Sox are on pace for 118 wins.

Houston is on pace to score 583 runs compared to 803 last year. Of the 583 about 40 will be in support of Clemens. Clemens will only allow 31 runs the whole season yet finish with a 10-7 record.

As for Pujols and my ridiculously high demands: He is on pace for 40 dingers, 50 doubles, 140 RBIs, 75 Ks, 7 SBs. He is not on pace for the MVP since Derrick Lee is dominating. He is not going to have more dingers than strikeouts. He does not have a 420 OBP or a 2/3 slugging. He IS on pace to hit on into the New Busch. They just have to build it a little more first. Come on Albert, step it up. You are only being great, be spectacularly amazing.

As for my early OVER/Unders:
Sammy Sosa 660 hrs? Not looking good, he only has 4 this year and now is on the DL from a ridiculous injury. He got a staph infection from a sore on his foot. It must be from all the showers he took after Moises Alou and his "hand hardening treatments."
Sosa 240 average
? He is over right now by a little at 269.
Cards 94 wins? Looking like over.
Cubs 92 wins
? Not Likely, but they just have to play .600 ball the rest of the way.
Mulder 17 wins? OVER! He is getting all the run support he can ask for and is even winning his bad starts. He could win 20 if he pitches like he has in his good starts.
K-Wood 15 Wins? WAY UNDER. He has one win and is on the DL, yikes.
Rick Ankiel 10 starts? Hahahahahaha
Rick Ankiel 20 wild pitches? Maybe he will have 20 thrown at him by AA pitchers with no control. He can see what it is like from the other side.
Nomar 115 games? Way under again. He is out until at least September.
Cubs 20 blown saves? Over, they already have 8 and Ryan Dempster has a few more in him.
Rolen 120 RBI? Under, Stupid Hee Seop Choi, why didn't he get hurt.
Molina 1 SB? Under, none yet and as long as he is hitting 8th Mr. Molasses won't get any freebies either.
A. Ramirez 100 LOB? Under, he is not getting on base enough this year. I thought he would be more like Lee and Lee would be more like Ramirez.
Morris 10 wins? Way over, he came back early from his injury and has pitched real well and has 4 wins to show for it.
Glendon Rusch 10 wins? Over, barely. He is finally in the rotation with Dempster closing, and he should stay there even when Wood gets back. He has 3 wins already is pitching well enough to get 10 or 11 wins.
Pujols Triple 1 Crown Category? Under. He has none now, but he is only two back in RBI, two back in HR and .020 back in batting. So he could easily take one or all of them.
Prior Third in Cy Young Race? Over. He is pitching well but not like Willis, Clemens, and a handful of other guy. Also, look at Bill James thingy.
Patterson/Edmonds 150 strikeouts? Under/Over respectively. Edmonds is leading the race 43 to 38.
Baker/La Russa pitching changes? Baker has taken his guys out a little earlier this year, except for Prior CG the other day. Of course Tony is using everyone he can.
Baker/La Russa tantrum? I am still waiting for a real good one where at least 3 things are thrown (Hat, Scorecard, Bats)

10 Comments:

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Hahahahahha! Not going to happen. Although, maybe we Cubs fans would drink ourselves into misery once again in October, as it seems that our team is on the decline again. Expect a turnaround.

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